By Shiva S. Halli, K. Vaninadha Rao (auth.)
Although i think commemorated to write down a foreword for this significant ebook, it's a job that I method with a few trepidation. the subjects lined within the publication summarize the present state-of-the-art in technical demography. even though, my wisdom and services with recognize to technical demography are constrained to the main primary and intermediate-level equipment; accordingly, severe remark at the contents of this quantity is past my scope during this fore notice. when you consider that i've got a few realizing of the good judgment and sizeable facets of the equipment instead of the advanced arithmetic utilized in describing them, my reviews will inevitably be limited to the book's common or ganization and content material. thus far, such a lot texts released on technical demography were constrained to conventional demographic tools: resources and barriers of knowledge, existence desk development and functions, standardization recommendations, quite a few tools for getting ready inhabitants estimates and forecasts, and so forth. despite the fact that, inhabitants experts have lately been constructing and effectively making use of quite a few refined strategies now not lined within the extra usual intro ductory texts. moreover, many conventional equipment which are precise to the demographic self-discipline were greater and extended.
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Extra resources for Advanced Techniques of Population Analysis
2. 2. LIFE TABLE MEASURES The life table describes the experience of a hypothetical cohort based on age- or duration-specific rates observed in a single year or a short period. The current age- or duration-specific rates are converted into the probability of surviving or dying (in case of mortality) and are then applied to a hypothetical cohort to study a particular experience. If life table measures refer to a single year of age or duration, such life tables are known as complete life tables. On the other hand, if information is given only for broader age or duration intervals, they are known as abridged life tables.
Our model fertility schedules are based on the assumption that control always causes a proportionate reduction of fertility below the natural fertility schedule in a fixed pattern by age" (p. 147). In order to understand the detailed underlying ideas and procedures, we suggest that readers refer to the excellent review paper by Coale ( 1977). Identification and mathematical modeling of patterns in mortality, nuptiality, and fertility by Coale and his associates haye been very important, and have been useful developments in recent demographic research.
However, there are a few countries in the world where there is no widespread use of birth control methods and which are unaffected significantly by international migration. These populations may be characterized by more or less constant fertility but a sustained decline in mortality. Coale (1972) has shown that fluctuations in fertility cause more irregularities in the age distribution compared to mortality changes. , Coale and Demeny, 1983). Strictly speaking, these populations are different from stable populations and estimates derived for these populations based on the stable population models can be in error.
Advanced Techniques of Population Analysis by Shiva S. Halli, K. Vaninadha Rao (auth.)